Incident Score: Analysis & Impact (RED1773771855)

Rankiteo's analysis has identified several MITRE ATT&CK tactics and techniques associated with this incident, each with varying levels of confidence based on available evidence. Under the Initial Access tactic, the analysis identified Exploit Public-Facing Application (T1190) with moderate confidence (50%), supported by evidence indicating threat actors increasingly focusing on smaller organizations with weaker security postures and Phishing (T1566) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating declining ransom profits could push some actors toward alternative revenue streams, such as phishing campaigns. Under the Execution tactic, the analysis identified User Execution: Malicious File (T1204.002) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating rEDBIKE as the most prevalent ransomware family in 2025. Under the Persistence tactic, the analysis identified External Remote Services (T1133) with lower confidence (40%), supported by evidence indicating secondary monetization of compromised infrastructure. Under the Credential Access tactic, the analysis identified OS Credential Dumping (T1003) with moderate confidence (50%), supported by evidence indicating targeted data often included HR records, accounting files. Under the Discovery tactic, the analysis identified File and Directory Discovery (T1083) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating common exfiltration tools included Rclone, WinRAR, FileZilla, WinSCP and Account Discovery (T1087) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating legal documents, HR records, accounting files targeted. Under the Collection tactic, the analysis identified Data from Local System (T1005) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating 77% of ransomware intrusions involved confirmed or suspected exfiltration and Data from Network Shared Drive (T1039) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating legal documents, HR records, accounting files, business development materials. Under the Exfiltration tactic, the analysis identified Exfiltration Over C2 Channel (T1041) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating 77% of ransomware intrusions involved confirmed or suspected exfiltration, Exfiltration Over Web Service (T1567) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating cloud platforms like MEGA, OneDrive, and Azure used for exfiltration, and Exfiltration Over Alternative Protocol (T1048) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating rclone (28% of incidents), WinRAR (23%), FileZilla, WinSCP used. Under the Impact tactic, the analysis identified Data Encrypted for Impact (T1486) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating rEDBIKE ransomware family accounted for nearly 30% of observed attacks and Inhibit System Recovery (T1490) with moderate confidence (50%), supported by evidence indicating data encryption and exfiltration used for extortion. Under the Defense Evasion tactic, the analysis identified Obfuscated Files or Information (T1027) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating ransomware-as-a-service (RaaS) market saw major disruptions and Hide Artifacts: Hidden Window (T1564.003) with lower confidence (40%), supported by evidence indicating threat actors adapt to declining payments with new tactics. These correlations help security teams understand the attack chain and develop appropriate defensive measures based on the observed tactics and techniques.