Incident Score: Analysis & Impact (EURNCS1779445606)
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Rankiteo Score Impact Analysis
Key Highlights From The Incident Analysis
- Timeline of National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC)'s Ransomware and lateral movement inside company's environment.
- Overview of affected data sets, including SSNs and PHI, and why they materially increase incident severity.
- How Rankiteo’s incident engine converts technical details into a normalized incident score.
- How this cyber incident impacts National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) Rankiteo cyber scoring and cyber rating.
- Rankiteo’s MITRE ATT&CK correlation analysis for this incident, with associated confidence level.
Full Incident Analysis Transcript
In this Rankiteo incident briefing, we review the National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) breach identified under incident ID EURNCS1779445606.
The analysis begins with a detailed overview of National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC)'s information like the linkedin page: https://www.linkedin.com/company/ncscc, the number of followers: 4034, the industry type: Government Administration and the number of employees: 4 employees
After the initial compromise, the video explains how Rankiteo's incident engine converts technical details into a normalized incident score. The incident score before the incident was 756 and after the incident was 625 with a difference of -131 which is could be a good indicator of the severity and impact of the incident.
In the next step of the video, we will analyze in more details the incident and the impact it had on National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) and their customers.
A newly reported cybersecurity incident, "Russian Hackers Exploit Exposed RDP and VPN Gateways for Espionage and Ransomware", has drawn attention.
Russian state-sponsored and criminal hacking groups are increasingly targeting exposed Remote Desktop Protocol (RDP) services and vulnerable VPN gateways as primary entry points into corporate and government networks.
The disruption is felt across the environment, affecting Corporate networks, Government networks and Critical infrastructure.
Formal response steps have not been shared publicly yet.
Overall, the incident is a reminder of why proactive monitoring and strong governance matter.
Finally, we try to match the incident with the MITRE ATT&CK framework to see if there is any correlation between the incident and the MITRE ATT&CK framework.
The MITRE ATT&CK framework is a knowledge base of techniques and sub-techniques that are used to describe the tactics and procedures of cyber adversaries. It is a powerful tool for understanding the threat landscape and for developing effective defense strategies.
MITRE ATT&CK® Correlation Analysis
Rankiteo's analysis has identified several MITRE ATT&CK tactics and techniques associated with this incident, each with varying levels of confidence based on available evidence. Under the Initial Access tactic, the analysis identified External Remote Services (T1133) with high confidence (95%), supported by evidence indicating exposed Remote Desktop Protocol (RDP) services and vulnerable VPN gateways, Valid Accounts: Cloud Accounts (T1078.004) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating compromised RDP and VPN credentials...auctioned on underground forums, Exploit Public-Facing Application (T1190) with moderate to high confidence (85%), supported by evidence indicating exploiting weak passwords, outdated software, and unpatched vulnerabilities, and Phishing: Spearphishing Attachment (T1566.001) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating phishing lures trick users into opening malicious RDP files. Under the Credential Access tactic, the analysis identified Brute Force: Password Guessing (T1110.001) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating automated botnets...conduct brute-force and credential-stuffing attacks, Brute Force: Password Spraying (T1110.003) with moderate to high confidence (85%), supported by evidence indicating over 100,000 unique IP addresses...credential-stuffing attacks, and Credentials from Password Stores (T1555) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating compromised RDP and VPN credentials are...harvested. Under the Persistence tactic, the analysis identified Valid Accounts: Cloud Accounts (T1078.004) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating compromised RDP and VPN credentials...resold or weaponized. Under the Lateral Movement tactic, the analysis identified Remote Services: Remote Desktop Protocol (T1021.001) with high confidence (95%), supported by evidence indicating exposed RDP services...primary entry points into...networks and Remote Services: SSH (T1021.004) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating vPN gateways...weaponized for...lateral movement. Under the Command and Control tactic, the analysis identified Remote Access Software (T1219) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating exposed RDP services and vulnerable VPN gateways. Under the Exfiltration tactic, the analysis identified Exfiltration Over C2 Channel (T1041) with moderate to high confidence (85%), supported by evidence indicating compromised access points...weaponized for espionage and Exfiltration Over Web Service: Exfiltration to Cloud Storage (T1567.002) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating credentials...sold on Russian-language underground forums. Under the Impact tactic, the analysis identified Data Encrypted for Impact (T1486) with high confidence (95%), supported by evidence indicating deployment of ransomware strains such as X2 and LockBit 3.0 and Defacement: Internal Defacement (T1491.001) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating disruption of critical infrastructure. Under the Defense Evasion tactic, the analysis identified Valid Accounts: Cloud Accounts (T1078.004) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating compromised RDP and VPN credentials...bypass initial reconnaissance and Impair Defenses: Disable or Modify Tools (T1562.001) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating difficult for defenders to block malicious traffic based on IP filtering. These correlations help security teams understand the attack chain and develop appropriate defensive measures based on the observed tactics and techniques.
Sources & References
- National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) Rankiteo Cyber Incident Details: https://www.rankiteo.com/company/ncscc/incident/EURNCS1779445606
- National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) CyberSecurity Rating page: https://www.rankiteo.com/company/ncscc
- National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) Rankiteo Cyber Incident Blog Article: https://blog.rankiteo.com/eurncs1779445606-ukrainian-critical-infrastructure-european-government-european-critical-infrastructure-ransomware-january-2025/
- National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) CyberSecurity Score History: https://www.rankiteo.com/company/ncscc/history
- National Cybersecurity Coordination Center (NCSCC) CyberSecurity Incident Source: https://cyberpress.org/russian-hackers-exploit-access/
- Rankiteo A.I CyberSecurity Rating methodology: https://www.rankiteo.com/Images/rankiteo_algo.pdf
- Rankiteo TPRM Scoring methodology: https://static.rankiteo.com/model/rankiteo_tprm_methodology.pdf