Incident Score: Analysis & Impact (FORCHEMIKPALMICODIADOITR1789359970)
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Rankiteo Score Impact Analysis
Key Highlights From The Incident Analysis
- Timeline of Adobe Commerce's Cyber Attack and lateral movement inside company's environment.
- Overview of affected data sets, including SSNs and PHI, and why they materially increase incident severity.
- How Rankiteo’s incident engine converts technical details into a normalized incident score.
- How this cyber incident impacts Adobe Commerce Rankiteo cyber scoring and cyber rating.
- Rankiteo’s MITRE ATT&CK correlation analysis for this incident, with associated confidence level.
Full Incident Analysis Transcript
In this Rankiteo incident briefing, we review the Adobe Commerce breach identified under incident ID FORCHEMIKPALMICODIADOITR1789359970.
The analysis begins with a detailed overview of Adobe Commerce's information like the linkedin page: https://www.linkedin.com/company/adobe-commerce, the number of followers: 125191, the industry type: Technology, Information and Internet and the number of employees: 541 employees
After the initial compromise, the video explains how Rankiteo's incident engine converts technical details into a normalized incident score. The incident score before the incident was 610 and after the incident was 582 with a difference of -28 which is could be a good indicator of the severity and impact of the incident.
In the next step of the video, we will analyze in more details the incident and the impact it had on Adobe Commerce and their customers.
Microsoft recently reported "Cybersecurity Roundup: Zero-Days, AI-Driven Attacks, and Major Breaches Dominate the Week", a noteworthy cybersecurity incident.
This week’s cybersecurity landscape was marked by a surge in critical vulnerabilities, active exploitation campaigns, and high-profile breaches highlighting persistent threats to enterprises, governments, and consumers.
The disruption is felt across the environment, affecting Windows, Office, SQL Server, Exchange, SharePoint, Azure, developer tools (Microsoft), FortiOS, FortiSwitchManager, FortiProxy (Fortinet) and PAN-OS (Palo Alto Networks), and exposing Passports, driver’s licenses, transaction histories, Bitcoin activity (Revolut), 6.39 million records (Odido) and 300,000 national ID records (North African government), with nearly ['6.39 million (Odido)', '300,000 (North African government)', '1.8 million Android apps (ShinyHunters)'] records at risk.
In response, moved swiftly to contain the threat with measures like Patches released (Microsoft, Fortinet, Palo Alto Networks, PostgreSQL) and Upgrades recommended (FortiOS 7.6.7+, PAN-OS 12.2.3+, PostgreSQL 18.6+), and began remediation that includes Hardening patches for Magento/Adobe Commerce and Network segmentation for exposed devices.
The case underscores how Ongoing, teams are taking away lessons such as Organizations must prioritize patch management, credential security, and AI threat monitoring to mitigate risks in an increasingly complex threat landscape, and recommending next steps like Apply patches immediately (Microsoft, Fortinet, Palo Alto Networks, PostgreSQL), Upgrade to secure versions (FortiOS 7.6.7+, PAN-OS 12.2.3+, PostgreSQL 18.6+) and Monitor for AI-driven attack automation.
Finally, we try to match the incident with the MITRE ATT&CK framework to see if there is any correlation between the incident and the MITRE ATT&CK framework.
The MITRE ATT&CK framework is a knowledge base of techniques and sub-techniques that are used to describe the tactics and procedures of cyber adversaries. It is a powerful tool for understanding the threat landscape and for developing effective defense strategies.
MITRE ATT&CK® Correlation Analysis
Rankiteo's analysis has identified several MITRE ATT&CK tactics and techniques associated with this incident, each with varying levels of confidence based on available evidence. Under the Initial Access tactic, the analysis identified Exploit Public-Facing Application (T1190) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating cVE-2025-25249 (FortiOS/FortiSwitchManager CAPWAP heap overflow), Supply Chain Compromise: Compromise Software Supply Chain (T1195.002) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating aI-driven attacks weaponizing Claude AI for malware rewriting, Phishing: Spearphishing Link (T1566.002) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating fraudulent email under an official domain (Revolut), Phishing: Vishing (T1566.004) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating vishing attack impersonating an IT colleague (Odido), and Exploitation for Client Execution (T1203) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating cVE-2026-87491 (Chrome V8 zero-day actively exploited). Under the Execution tactic, the analysis identified Exploitation for Client Execution (T1203) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating cVE-2026-0310 (PAN-OS XML processing buffer overflow), Command and Scripting Interpreter: PowerShell (T1059.001) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating pivotC2 RAT deployed via outbound TLS connections (Fortinet), and Command and Scripting Interpreter: JavaScript (T1059.007) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating pivotC2 custom Node.js RAT (Fortinet). Under the Persistence tactic, the analysis identified Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Registry Run Keys / Startup Folder (T1547.001) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating pivotC2 RAT bypasses firewalls via outbound TLS (Fortinet) and Server Software Component: Web Shell (T1505.003) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating styleSmuggler Magento/Adobe Commerce zero-day (malicious PHP). Under the Privilege Escalation tactic, the analysis identified Exploitation for Privilege Escalation (T1068) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating cVE-2026-85880 (Windows ALPC), CVE-2026-81963 (Windows Update Stack) and Abuse Elevation Control Mechanism: Bypass User Account Control (T1548.002) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating 438 elevation-of-privilege flaws patched (Microsoft). Under the Defense Evasion tactic, the analysis identified Obfuscated Files or Information (T1027) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating aI-driven malware rewriting upon detection (Claude AI), Subvert Trust Controls: Install Root Certificate (T1553.004) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating cVE-2026-84393 (FortiOS certificate validation flaw), and Indicator Removal: Clear Windows Event Logs (T1070.001) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating pivotC2 RAT bypasses firewalls (Fortinet). Under the Credential Access tactic, the analysis identified OS Credential Dumping: LSASS Memory (T1003.001) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating vPN credentials decrypted (Fortinet exploitation), Credentials from Password Stores: Credentials from Web Browsers (T1555.003) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating 1.8M Android apps decompiled for hardcoded secrets (ShinyHunters), and Brute Force: Password Guessing (T1110.001) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating 30,000 FortiGate IPs scanned (Fortinet exploitation). Under the Discovery tactic, the analysis identified Account Discovery: Domain Account (T1087.002) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating exchange mailbox data exfiltrated (Fortinet) and Network Service Discovery (T1046) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating lG OLED TVs scanning home networks. Under the Collection tactic, the analysis identified Data from Local System (T1005) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating 90 GB of data exfiltrated via Salesforce APIs (Odido), Email Collection: Remote Email Collection (T1114.002) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating exchange mailbox data exfiltrated (Fortinet), and Data from Information Repositories: SharePoint (T1213.002) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating microsoft Patch Tuesday addressed SharePoint vulnerabilities. Under the Command and Control tactic, the analysis identified Application Layer Protocol: Web Protocols (T1071.001) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating pivotC2 RAT uses outbound TLS connections (Fortinet) and Ingress Tool Transfer (T1105) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating blueMoon Exploit Kit deploys backdoors. Under the Exfiltration tactic, the analysis identified Exfiltration Over C2 Channel (T1041) with high confidence (90%), supported by evidence indicating 90 GB of data exfiltrated to Wasabi cloud storage (Fortinet) and Transfer Data to Cloud Account (T1537) with moderate to high confidence (80%), supported by evidence indicating exchange mailbox data exfiltrated to Wasabi (Fortinet). Under the Impact tactic, the analysis identified Data Encrypted for Impact (T1486) with moderate confidence (50%), supported by evidence indicating €1 million ransom demand (Odido), Defacement: Internal Defacement (T1491.001) with moderate confidence (60%), supported by evidence indicating aI-driven attacks automating attack chains (Claude AI), and Account Access Removal (T1531) with moderate to high confidence (70%), supported by evidence indicating windows Server RDP freezes after updates. These correlations help security teams understand the attack chain and develop appropriate defensive measures based on the observed tactics and techniques.
Sources & References
- Adobe Commerce Rankiteo Cyber Incident Details: https://www.rankiteo.com/company/adobe-commerce/incident/FORCHEMIKPALMICODIADOITR1789359970
- Adobe Commerce CyberSecurity Rating page: https://www.rankiteo.com/company/adobe-commerce
- Adobe Commerce Rankiteo Cyber Incident Blog Article: https://blog.rankiteo.com/forchemikpalmicodiadoitr1789359970-fortinet-microsoft-palo-alto-networks-odido-revolut-magentoadobe-commerce-mikrotik-check-point-cyber-attack-september-2026/
- Adobe Commerce CyberSecurity Score History: https://www.rankiteo.com/company/adobe-commerce/history
- Adobe Commerce CyberSecurity Incident Source: https://cybersecuritynews.com/cybersecurity-weekly-newsletter-bulletin-september/
- Rankiteo A.I CyberSecurity Rating methodology: https://www.rankiteo.com/Images/rankiteo_algo.pdf
- Rankiteo TPRM Scoring methodology: https://static.rankiteo.com/model/rankiteo_tprm_methodology.pdf